Joined: Sun Mar 15, 2009 7:40 pm Posts: 962 Location: Florida
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Congratulations! It looks like you made it. Keep charting though, if it's your nature. The data passed this point is somewhat sparse among the cured. I'm interested if you'll level off at some number per week, or decrease to nothing, or have a duration where the level rises then falls again. We'll see. I see we have the same reward - ice cream. I have really developed a love for it since the AL addiction is gone. If you enjoy graphing and curve fitting, you may want to get Eureqa from Cornell University. It is a software tool for detecting equations and hidden mathematical relationships in your data. Its primary goal is to identify the simplest mathematical formulas which could describe the underlying mechanisms that produced the data. It utilizes genetic programming (GP) which is an evolutionary algorithm-based methodology (self modifying programming). I ran my data through it and after 34 hours of using 3 of my networked computers and 1.5 trillion iterations, it found a nearly perfect fit that extrapolated into the future another year. It shows that I should be around 1 unit per week after 2 years of TSM. Of course, I take all of this with a grain of salt, but I love this open ended program structure that starts with no preconceived "idea" of what the solution should look like and tests different relationship until it finds ones that work. Normally most programs will fir the data with a polynomial of increasing complexity. In the case of my date, it abandoned that early in the iteration and settled on a multiple component exponential decay, just as we would expect. Anyway, I gotta do something with all this extra time now. Congrats again! Bob
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Code: Pre-TSM~54u/Wk Wk1-52:40,42,39,28,33,33,43,40,36,30,34,30,30║30,38,13,25,4,22,12,6,9,5,9,3,5║6,6,5,4,9,6,0,9,2,2,5,4,4║3,4,5,3,4,2,6,2,6,4,8,2,2u W53-91: 4, 2, 2, 2, 3, 2, 1, 5, 4,17, 0, 0, 0║ 3, 0, 3, 0,3, 0, 2,0,0,0,0,0,0║0,0,0,2,0,2,0,0,3,0,0,2,0u
"Cured" @ Week 21 (5 Months), Current Week: 97 (23rd Month)
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